
The NOPA data showed U.S. soybean crush fell to an 11-month low in August, at 161.453 million bushels, down 6.8% from July and below nearly all trade estimates. End-of-month soyoil stocks dropped to a nearly six-year low.
Benchmark soybean futures fell 1.5% on the day.
Weaker crush cuts domestic demand for meal and oil, bearish for soybeans and soymeal, while low soyoil stocks support oil prices.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.