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A Reuters poll of seven analysts expects US soyoil stocks at the end of July to have fallen for a fifth straight month, to 1.713 billion pounds, a 10-month low. That is 3% below end-June and 6% above a year earlier.
Falling soyoil stocks signal tighter domestic supply, which supports soybean oil prices ahead of the NOPA crush report.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.