
USDA's FAS cut its estimate of Argentina's 2021-22 soybean planting to 17 million hectares and production to 49.7 million tonnes. Export taxes of 33% on soybeans and 12% on corn and wheat have pushed farmers toward corn and winter grains.
A smaller Argentine soybean crop tightens meal and oil supply, while more corn planting adds to feed grain supply and weighs on corn prices.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.