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Malaysian palm oil futures jumped more than 5% toward RM4,000 a ton after a USDA acreage report showed smaller-than-expected US soybean plantings. Chicago soybean oil had surged 7.3% the prior Friday, and palm tracked it higher.
Futures reached RM3,994, the highest intraday level since March 15.
A surprise cut in US soybean area tightens the vegetable oil supply outlook, and palm oil follows soyoil as a close substitute. The shock lifts palm, soyoil and soybean prices together.
mpoc.org.mynetmoreJul 5, 2023After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the same USDA acreage-driven surge of over 5% toward RM4,000, with palm following the 7.3% Chicago soyoil jump, the key catalyst for the move.
