Loading…
Analysts at Feed Strategy said USDA's August cuts to U.S. soybean production were larger than expected, but prices fell as demand and export forecasts were also reduced. The analysis noted that the survey predates August rains and that China's state reserve has been buying soybeans.
Demand from Germany for biodiesel feedstock was also cited.
Reduced U.S. supply supports soybean prices, but expected Chinese stockpiling and rising European crush demand could offset this. Buyers should watch whether the August rains improve yields.
feedstrategy.comEmma PenrodAug 16, 2023After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Prices fell after USDA's August report despite production cuts because demand and export forecasts were also reduced and rains post-dated the survey, pointing to a bearish demand reaction.
