
USDA data show U.S., Brazilian, Argentine and Black Sea soybean and corn export bids rose through July 2020 on post-pandemic demand recovery. U.S. corn bids fell US$9 to US$162 per ton as they dropped below Brazil for the first time since spring.
USDA expects record 2020/21 corn output of 15.3 billion bushels and yields above 181 bushels per acre, with average on-farm corn prices forecast at US$3.10 per bushel.
Record expected North American and global production points to softer corn and soybean prices into harvest, even though demand remains firm. Feed buyers may find cheaper corn ahead, though soybean meal values are supported by steady export demand.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.