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Reuters reports that the El Niño and its opposing La Niña pattern have affected production of wheat, rice and corn in Latin America. The weather pattern is expected to continue into mid-2024.
The excerpt is partial, so the specific forecasts are not fully stated.
Expected persistence of El Niño into mid-2024 points to continued weather risk for South American grain and rice output, which supports global corn, wheat and rice prices.
reuters.comJuana CasasOct 19, 2023After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
