
USDA's December 1 Cattle on Feed report showed 12.0 million head on feed, up 3% from a year earlier and the largest since April 2022. November placements were 1.87 million head, 2% below 2022, and marketings were 7% lower.
Cattle on feed came in above analyst estimates.
Higher on-feed numbers with lower marketings add near-term bearish pressure on fed cattle prices and extend feedlot grain consumption. The placement decline points to tightening feeder supply later.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.