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The American Farm Bureau Federation notes that US cattle inventory fell to its lowest level in 73 years while cattle on feed remains strong. Retail beef prices hit record highs in six of the last seven months, and drought is emerging as a new source of uncertainty for cattle markets.
Low herd numbers and record retail beef prices support cattle values over the longer term, while drought risk could affect placements and feed costs over the next six months.
fb.orgBernt NelsonNov 1, 2024After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
