
NASS reported U.S. cattle and calves at 89.3 million head as of January 1, 2023, down 3%. Beef cows totaled 28.9 million and the calf crop fell 2% to 34.5 million, while cattle on feed were down 4% to 14.2 million head.
Lower calf crop and cattle on feed reduce near-term slaughter supplies, which supports cattle prices and points to lower beef output over the next few years.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.