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USDA's January 30 cattle report put total US cattle inventory at 86.2 million head, down 0.4% from a year earlier and the lowest since 1951. Cattle on feed fell 3% to 13.8 million head, and December placements dropped 5%.
A shrinking herd and fewer cattle on feed tighten near-term beef supply and support higher live and feeder cattle prices. Limited heifer retention means the rebuild will be slow.
paradigmfutures.netParadigm FuturesJan 30, 2026After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
