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The US dollar index rose 0.26% to 102.48 on Friday after stronger-than-expected December US inflation data, and the dollar held gains amid US and British strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen. Traders priced a 68% chance of a first Fed rate cut in March.
A firmer dollar and geopolitical tension in the Red Sea lift freight and energy risk, which can weigh on dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and raise import costs.
vietnam.vnCông LuậnJan 12, 2024After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
