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StoneX's Josh Linville attributes higher summer fertiliser prices to several factors: European gas costs cutting nitrogen output to about 75% of normal, Brazilian plant shutdowns over high costs, Chinese export restrictions, and Egyptian gas supply shortages. He says fertiliser prices are set largely by world markets.
Energy-driven European and Egyptian nitrogen supply losses, combined with Chinese curbs, keep nitrogen prices elevated and raise input costs for feed producers.
agweb.comJul 16, 2024After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
