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Urea in New Orleans rose to $720 per tonne by October 6, up from $411 in early August, and Egypt's price nearly doubled to $830. European nitrogen producers are curtailing output because natural gas prices spiked to $35-40 per MMBtu.
Gas costs above $900 per tonne of urea make European production unprofitable without subsidies, so output is being shut in. That supply loss is the main driver of higher nitrogen prices worldwide.
producer.comSean PrattOct 7, 2021After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Documents the sharp New Orleans and Egypt urea price rise to Oct 6, with European producers curtailing output because gas hit $35-40/MMBtu.
