
Commodity prices were mixed last week as Fed signals of slower rate cuts, US election uncertainty and Israel-Iran tensions shaped trading. Gold hit a record near $2,758 and palladium rose 10.4% on possible US sanctions on Russian palladium and titanium.
Geopolitical sanctions and a firmer dollar are cross-commodity forces, but the article focuses on metals rather than feed inputs. Feed buyers see only a general risk-sentiment effect.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.