Colombian peso gains on oil, Mideast tensions

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• May 27, 2019Oil up more than 1% on Mideast tensions and supply cuts-8.5%
• Dec 29, 2025USD/CAD slips to near 1.3650 as Oil prices gain on Middle East tensions+2.7%
• Jul 31, 2024Oil gains nearly 3% on rising Mideast tension, falling US crude stockpiles | Reuters-2.1%
• Sep 30, 2024Crude Rallies on Middle East Tensions+9.1%
• Oct 2, 2026Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Sustain Supply-Disruption Fears-1.5%

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• May 27, 2019Oil up more than 1% on Mideast tensions and supply cuts-9.0%
• Dec 29, 2025USD/CAD slips to near 1.3650 as Oil prices gain on Middle East tensions+0.4%
• Jul 31, 2024Oil gains nearly 3% on rising Mideast tension, falling US crude stockpiles | Reuters-3.0%
• Sep 30, 2024Crude Rallies on Middle East Tensions+9.6%
• Oct 3, 2024Malaysian Palm Oil Prices Climb Due To Middle East Tensions+3.3%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.