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A farmdoc daily article presents a revised Excel tool for analysing 2025 PLC and ARC commodity program choices. It finds ARC at the county level most likely to pay the most for corn, soybean and wheat base acres.
PLC pays more only at very low prices, and farmers have until April 15 to decide.
Program choice affects how much government support reaches each crop, which can influence planting and marketing decisions. The effect on market prices is small.
farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia JiaoJan 28, 2025After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 137 past neutral policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
