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Farmdoc daily analysts examine the 2018 Market Facilitation Program, the ad hoc payments made to farms for export losses from retaliatory tariffs. Soybeans received 86% of MFP 2018 payments.
The authors argue a commodity program coverage gap justifies the ad hoc aid.
Government aid for trade-damaged crops affects farm cash flow and planting incentives, but it does not directly move feed commodity prices in the near term.
origin.farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia JiaoApr 29, 2021After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
