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StoneX's weekly FX outlook says the dollar weakened globally during the week of June 23-27, 2025, as Middle East tensions eased and bets on Fed rate cuts grew. The Brazilian real closed at R$5.4831 per dollar, down 0.8% on the week, with the DXY at 97.3.
A weaker dollar and stronger real reduce the local-currency cost of imported feed inputs for Brazil while making Brazilian soybean, corn and meal exports less competitive in dollar terms.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilJun 30, 2025After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
