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The USD/BRL rate fell for a fourth consecutive week, closing Friday March 25 at 4.747, down 5.4% on the week and 14.8% on the year. StoneX attributes the real's gains to strong foreign appetite for Brazilian assets and rising commodity prices.
Analysts also note that Federal Reserve tightening and the Ukraine conflict could drive volatility.
A firmer real lowers the local-currency cost of imported feed ingredients and can dampen Brazilian export competitiveness. Continued appreciation supports Brazilian exporters' margins only partly, since commodity prices drive most of their revenue.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilMar 25, 2022After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
