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StoneX reports that the USD/BRL closed at 4.955 on March 1, down 0.8% for the week, after US and Brazilian inflation data reinforced expectations of steady rates. The outlook focuses on Powell's testimony, Chinese economic data and the ECB decision.
A firmer real on the back of steady rate expectations can make Brazilian export offers more competitive, which may cap US soybean and corn export pricing relative to Brazil.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilMar 4, 2024After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
