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DTN meteorologist John Baranick, writing August 31, 2025, says La Niña is likely to return in fall, especially late in the season, typically bringing a warmer, drier pattern to much of the US. He notes the southern and eastern Corn Belt were very dry in August and likely saw yield trimming, with intense drought in the West.
Dryness already trimming Corn Belt yields plus a drier outlook for winter wheat areas supports feed grain and wheat prices, though good harvest conditions limit the upside.
dtnpf.comJohn BaranickSep 1, 2025After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
