La Niña climate pattern should return this fall and last through winter. Here's what to expect.

After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Oct 17, 2025La Niña Watch Is On — Here’s How It Could Shake Up Drought and Winter Weather - AgWeb+3.4%
• Dec 3, 2025Climatologist: Winter weather patterns are not enough to relieve Eastern Corn Belt drought - Brownfield Ag News-3.3%
• Jul 11, 2022What to Expect as Corn Yields Face a Third Straight La Niña - farmdoc daily-10.1%
• Dec 13, 2021La Niña Returns for a Second Winter - NASA Science+1.4%
• May 19, 2017El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change-0.6%

After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Dec 15, 2017La Niña expected to continue through winter - Brownfield Ag News+2.7%
• Oct 17, 2025La Niña Watch Is On — Here’s How It Could Shake Up Drought and Winter Weather - AgWeb-0.0%
• Dec 3, 2025Climatologist: Winter weather patterns are not enough to relieve Eastern Corn Belt drought - Brownfield Ag News+0.7%
• Jul 11, 2022What to Expect as Corn Yields Face a Third Straight La Niña - farmdoc daily-14.4%
• Dec 13, 2021La Niña Returns for a Second Winter - NASA Science-0.1%

After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Jun 8, 2023Extreme weather expected as El Nino climate pattern returns, US forecaster says | Reuters-0.0%
• May 19, 2017El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+3.0%
• May 10, 2018El Niño pattern could emerge by 2018-19 winter: U.S. forecaster-1.0%
• Jun 13, 2022hEDGEpoint Global Markets climate report details the effects of La Niña on the global soybean, corn and wheat market - Revista Cultivar+1.0%
• Sep 20, 2022Winter drought rolls into third La Niña for Argentina - Grain Central+0.4%