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Capital Economics said on 9 October 2025 that the return of La Niña could affect agricultural production in key exporting regions. The firm expects a weak and short episode, so the broader impact on agricultural prices is likely to be small.
Because the episode is expected to be weak and brief, the price impact on feed grains and oilseeds is limited, so buyers should expect only modest support from weather risk.
capitaleconomics.comTom ForshawOct 9, 2025After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
