Will La Niña return this fall? The tea leaves are unusually strong » Yale Climate Connections

After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jan 25, 2024What are the odds that extreme weather will lead to a global food shock? » Yale Climate Connections-0.8%
• Nov 16, 2021Understanding La Niña Conditions Going Into the Winter Season | USDA Climate Hubs+0.1%
• Jan 30, 2024La Niña Returns: Will It Impact 2024 US Growing Season? – Empire Weather Consulting-2.5%
• Jul 25, 2018Odds are El Niño, precipitation will return+3.5%
• Oct 9, 2025Monitoring the return of La Niña | Capital Economics-0.9%

After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jan 25, 2024What are the odds that extreme weather will lead to a global food shock? » Yale Climate Connections-1.5%
• Nov 16, 2021Understanding La Niña Conditions Going Into the Winter Season | USDA Climate Hubs+1.4%
• Jan 30, 2024La Niña Returns: Will It Impact 2024 US Growing Season? – Empire Weather Consulting+0.2%
• Oct 9, 2025Monitoring the return of La Niña | Capital Economics-2.2%
• Feb 17, 2026Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET+0.1%