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The ECB held its benchmark rate at 2% and Lagarde warned that a stronger euro could push inflation below expectations. The euro had recently jumped above $1.20 as the dollar weakened on concerns about US economic policy.
A strong euro cheapens European imports and can curb demand for dollar-priced US exports, while a weaker dollar can support US commodity prices.
france24.comFeb 5, 2026After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
