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US and European stocks rallied on May 23, 2022, with the S&P 500 moving away from a bear market. The euro rose 1.24% to $1.0691 after the ECB said it was likely to lift its deposit rate out of negative territory by September.
Oil prices slid while the dollar fell.
Rising ECB rate expectations weakened the dollar, which tends to support dollar-denominated commodity prices in local-currency terms for importers. Lower oil prices reduce energy and freight cost pressure on feed supply chains.
reuters.comHerbert LashMay 23, 2022After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The euro gained about 1.2% on May 23 on ECB hike expectations while risk appetite improved and the dollar fell, which contributed to the weekly rise.
