
The euro rose against the dollar after the European Central Bank cut its rates by 25 basis points. ECB President Christine Lagarde dampened expectations of another cut in October, saying policy would depend on incoming economic data.
A firmer euro weakens the dollar index, which lowers the cost of dollar-priced commodities for euro-area buyers and slightly supports dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.