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The euro moved toward 1.10 against the dollar after the ECB held rates and warned against expectations of a March rate cut. Euro-dollar touched 1.0990 following the ECB guidance that rates would stay restrictive for as long as necessary.
Diverging Fed and ECB rate expectations drive currency moves that affect the dollar value of commodity trade, particularly for European buyers of US feed ingredients.
poundsterlinglive.comGary HowesDec 14, 2023After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
ECB held rates and pushed back against March rate-cut bets, supporting the euro as it approached 1.10.
The ECB's pushback against March cut bets lifted the euro toward 1.10, contributing to the broad dollar decline via the largest index component.
