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EUR/USD rose above 0.4% on May 24, 2022 to 1.0736, its highest since April 25, after ECB President Lagarde said bond purchases would end early in the third quarter, allowing a rate hike in July. The dollar index slipped to a one-month low of 101.74.
Analysts expected the euro to climb toward 1.08 over three months.
Expectations of ECB tightening are narrowing the rate gap with the Fed, which weakens the dollar and supports dollar-priced commodities for non-US buyers. The effect on feed prices is indirect and tied to currency flows.
economies.comRami HaddadMay 24, 2022After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
