
The euro was on track for its best week against the dollar since the pandemic hit, after the ECB signalled a path toward rate hikes for the first time in a decade. The dollar index was heading for about a 2% weekly drop, trading near 95.3.
A weaker dollar tends to support dollar-priced commodities and can improve import demand from non-dollar buyers, while the broader currency move shifts export competitiveness for grains and meals.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the euro's best weekly gain since the pandemic and a roughly 2% weekly drop in the dollar index after the ECB's hawkish turn.