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The euro rose against the dollar after ECB President Christine Lagarde acknowledged inflation running hotter than expected with upside risks, while the central bank kept its guidance and bond purchases unchanged. Money markets moved to price in ECB rate hikes later in 2022, with the euro at $1.1411.
Expectations of tighter ECB policy lift the euro and weigh on the dollar, which affects dollar-denominated commodity prices and the cost of imported inputs for European and emerging-market feed buyers.
cnbc.comReutersFeb 3, 2022After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Lagarde's hawkish comments on Feb 3 triggered a euro jump as markets priced in 2022 ECB hikes, the main driver of the week's gain.
