
EUR/USD traded near 1.1690 on April 30 after the ECB left its rates unchanged and a three-week low was reached earlier in the day. The move reflected a softer dollar after mixed US data, including first-quarter GDP growth of 2% versus expectations of 2.3%.
US PCE inflation reached 3.5% year-on-year in March.
Dollar weakness supports dollar-denominated commodity prices and can improve US export competitiveness for feed grains and meals. The effect is modest and usually overshadowed by energy and geopolitical drivers.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.