
The USDA reported that the average U.S. diesel price rose to a record $5.967 per gallon for the week, up 36.8 cents from the prior week and 220.1 cents from a year earlier. North Dakota unfilled grain car orders exceeded 1,000 for the first time this year, with 1,147 orders in the week ending Aug.
28. The EIA's September outlook projects Brent averaging $89 per barrel in Q3 2026.
Record diesel prices raise trucking and rail costs for grain movement, adding to logistics costs that feed through to export and domestic feed ingredient prices. Crude and diesel strength also supports biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils.
After 105 past bullish macro events, DIESEL moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.