
The rupiah slipped from a two-month high to around 15,000 per US dollar on April 3, 2023, after Indonesian March inflation eased to 4.97% year on year, below the 5.17% expected. Analysts also cited risk-off sentiment after OPEC+ announced a surprise output cut of about 1.16 million barrels per day.
The OPEC+ cut raised oil-driven inflation fears and supported the dollar, which weakens the rupiah and raises the local cost of imported feed. Softer Indonesian inflation partly offset that pressure.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.