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A Reuters poll showed the Canadian dollar is expected to recover its recent decline over the coming year. The forecast cites elevated oil prices boosting Canada's trade surplus and a possible Bank of Canada rate path matching the Fed.
Higher oil prices support Canadian export receipts and a firmer loonie, which lowers the US-dollar cost of Canadian-origin commodities. The effect on feed prices is indirect.
reuters.comFergal SmithMay 5, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
