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The Canadian dollar has decoupled from oil despite crude hitting 14-year highs amid the Russia-Ukraine crisis. The historic link that let the central bank rely on a stronger currency to curb energy-driven inflation has weakened.
The loss of the oil-currency link complicates Canadian inflation policy and makes the loonie a weaker offset to imported commodity costs.
reuters.comFergal SmithMar 8, 2022After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
