
The Canadian dollar strengthened on August 18, 2021, after annual inflation rose to 3.7% in July, above the 3.4% expected. U.S. crude oil rose 0.8% to $67.11 a barrel after four days of declines.
Hotter inflation raises expectations of tighter Canadian monetary policy, which supports the loonie. Higher crude supports Canadian commodity export earnings.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.