
The Canadian dollar was the top-performing G10 currency as investors weighed de-escalation of US-China trade tensions after Treasury Secretary Bessent called the standoff unsustainable. Oil settled up nearly 2% at $64.31 a barrel.
Expectations of US-China de-escalation support export demand for US and Canadian agricultural goods and firm energy prices that feed into input and freight costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.