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Several Midwest ethanol producers reported cutting run rates by five to eight percentage points as diesel prices rose sharply after attacks on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline and Strait of Hormuz shipping concerns. Brent crude is reported back above $104 a barrel while gasoline has lagged.
Lower ethanol run rates reduce corn grind and DDGS output, which is bearish for DDGS supply and modestly weighs on corn demand. Higher energy prices from the Middle East conflict also tighten the feed-cost outlook.
infohandle.netDavid WongSep 17, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
