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New research in Nature Communications finds that countries differ widely in how effectively they detect and notify farmers of African swine fever and highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks. The study reports that national income does not explain the differences in surveillance outcomes.
The findings focus on surveillance and notification systems rather than specific outbreaks.
Slow detection and notification can let outbreaks spread further before control measures take hold, which raises the risk of larger supply losses. No immediate price effect is described.
feedstrategy.comEmma PenrodJun 30, 2025After 645 past disease events, HOGS moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
