USDA's APHIS discussed preparedness options for African swine fever at a House Agriculture subcommittee hearing on April 18, 2023. Officials described possible vaccine and depopulation strategies as the disease spread in the Dominican Republic and Haiti, close to U.S. shores.
An ASF incursion into U.S. hog herds would sharply cut domestic pork supply and hog prices, and could trigger export restrictions. Current preparedness efforts reduce the immediate risk but leave the market exposed to a future outbreak.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.