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Farmdoc analysts project biomass-based diesel production and feedstock use for 2026-27 without the proposed half-RIN limit on imported feedstocks, assuming higher renewable volume obligations offset its removal. They note EPA's combined decisions create substantially higher biomass-based diesel requirements.
Higher feedstock demand from biomass-based diesel supports soybean oil and crush demand, which lifts soybean meal supply and prices, while removing the import limit would reduce the advantage for domestic feedstocks.
agriculture.comFarmdocFeb 25, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
