Loading…
farmdoc daily analysts Todd Hubbs and Scott Irwin project the feedstock use implied by final EPA RVOs for 2026 and 2027, focusing on the split between domestic and imported feedstock and soybean oil. They note that EPA finalized the Set 2 rule at the end of March with unprecedented volumes.
The analysis says domestic plants would need very high utilization and a recovery in imports that has not yet occurred.
Projected soybean oil and other feedstock use under the final RVOs implies strong demand that could tighten oil supplies. Any shortfall in imports would push more demand onto domestic soybean oil.
farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia JiaoJul 1, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
