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CoBank reports that new-crop US soybean export sales for 2024/25 are the slowest since 2008 for this time of year, excluding 2019. Chinese bookings are at their slowest in nearly two decades, and a strong dollar and trade policy uncertainty are weighing on buyers.
Weak forward bookings point to softer US soybean export demand early in the marketing year, which pressures soybean and meal prices unless South American supply shortfalls emerge.
cobank.comTanner EhmkeAug 29, 2024After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
