
CBOT soybean futures fell about 1.5% on Feb 1, 2024 after disappointing weekly US export sales of 164,500 metric tons, the lowest of the 2023/24 marketing year. Strong competition from Brazil's expanding harvest and economic weakness in China also weighed on demand, while corn sagged in sympathy and wheat rose.
Weak US export demand and Brazilian competition keep soybean and soymeal export prices under pressure, while China's slow buying limits recovery.
After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.