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CBOT wheat fell 3.2 percent and soybeans hit their lowest in more than nine months on June 13 as fund long liquidation drove the sell-off. Soybean weakness was tied to China trade tensions, after the administration planned tariffs on up to $50 billion of Chinese goods.
A media report of possible Chinese retaliation on U.S. soybeans also weighed on prices.
Threatened Chinese retaliatory tariffs on U.S. soybeans reduce expected export demand and pressure soybean prices, with wheat moves largely driven by profit-taking.
agcanada.comAGCanadaJun 13, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
