Soybeans closed lower on July 10 with contracts down 13 to 21 cents, and soymeal fell 90 cents to $6.10 per ton. USDA reported a private sale of 132,000 metric tons of new-crop soybeans to China, the first 2024/25 sale to that country.
A first new-crop China purchase is supportive for export demand, but it was not enough to offset broader bearish pressure on soybeans and meal.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soymeal fell up to $6.10/ton on July 10 with soybeans lower, contributing to the weekly decline despite a supportive new-crop China sale.