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US corn futures fell to 2025 lows and soybeans dropped below $10 a bushel as trade tensions escalated. Canada, China and Mexico announced retaliatory tariffs on US goods.
Commodity funds began unwinding large net long corn positions after prices fell about 14% since mid-February.
Retaliation threatens US feed grain and soybean export demand, while fund liquidation adds selling pressure on corn and soy prices.
agcanada.comAGCanadaMar 4, 2025After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
