China to favour Brazilian soybean imports in H1 despite renewed US inflows

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Oct 3, 2025US soybean farmers, deserted by big buyer China, scramble for other importers | Reuters-0.1%
• Aug 7, 2025China soybean imports hit record July high on strong Brazil exports, US trade uncertainties | Reuters+6.4%
• Feb 1, 2025COMMENTARY: China passes on US soybeans despite Brazilian delays+0.7%
• Oct 20, 2025China imports no US soybeans in September for first time in seven years | Reuters+2.2%
• Jan 25, 2018Soy source: Brazil's share of soybean exports to China hits record+0.4%

After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jan 20, 2022China's 2021 soy imports from U.S. rise while Brazilian shipments fall | Reuters+0.2%
• Aug 7, 2025China soybean imports hit record July high on strong Brazil exports, US trade uncertainties | Reuters+4.3%
• Dec 8, 2025China Set for Record 2025 Soybean Imports on Brazil Buys, U.S. Trade Truce-1.5%
• Jul 31, 2026Brazilian, US soybean prices remain high despite drops; Brazil still top origin | S&P Global-0.6%
• Mar 28, 2025China absorbs massive Brazilian soy shipments in first quarter | Reuters-1.9%